CHAIT SPEECH! Samuelson lied about black kids. Chait had no idea: // link // print // previous // next //
WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2010
Imam Rauf stays on the lawn: Chris Matthews, a nasty corporate hack, was stupidly playing his race cards last night. As usual, he didnt seem to have the slightest idea what he was talking about. But as always, he did know his scripts! And despite years of service to GEs Jack Welch, his cluelessness and his ugly soul have now been purchased by the liberal team.
Matthews was expressing his vast joy about that new web site, the one which hunts down all the racists, including the occasional stray (see THE DAILY HOWLER, 9/7/10). He played tape of several people at the recent Glenn Beck event; these people said they had never heard Beck call President Obama a racist. Then, this utterly stupid, soul-less man performed his typical functionthe type of function he performed, under different corporate ownership, to send George Bush to the White House.
After playing his tape of the Beck admirers, Matthews spoke with Ari Rabin-Havt of Media Matters. Alas! Rabin-Havts comments were massively dumber than those of the Beck fans:
They clearly dont watch Glenn Beck if they are saying that, Rabin-Havt said. The liberal world is in deep hurt when we reason like this. Oligarchic Power is assured of a very long run when we function like this.
What was wrong with the logic of Matthews and Rabin-Havt? For one thing, Matthews was playing a piece of tape that was fourteen months old; it showed an utterly stupid comment Beck made in July 2009. (Beyond that, the statement was made on a morning show, not on Becks own program.) This brings us to the days key question: Why was Matthews playing such an old piece of tape? The answer to that is blindingly obvious, of course: Liberals keep playing that 14-month-old tape because Beck doesnt call Obama a racist on his TV show! You can watch Becks program every day, as those rally-attenders may do. Youll never see him call Obama a racistjust as those people said.
Might we state the basic point? People like Matthews keep playing that 14-month-old tape because it is the only time Beck made this stupid remark.
I never heard him say he [Obama] was a racist, one rally-goer said on the earlier tape Matthews played. I never heard Glenn say that, a second man quickly chimed in. These people may not be politically sophisticated. But even if they watch Becks program every day, its truetheyve never heard him say that! The tape of that remark gets played on liberal shows, designed to send thrills up our legs.
Theyve heard Beck say a whole lot of ludicrous things. But no, he doesnt say that.
Beyond that, theyve seen Beck praise Dr. King, over and over again, all through the last year. Liberals dont hear about that at Media Mattersor on hack programs like Hardball. But almost surely, those rally-attenders knew that, even if we liberals dont. But so it goes in a tribal society. They dont know that Beck called Obama a racist. We dont know that he has endlessly spoken in praise of Dr. King.
Well guess that Matthews doesnt really know why his producer keeps playing that year-old tape. Often the years, he rarely seems to know what hes talking about. He does know the prevailing narratives which have been approved by his corporate ownersby the people who pay him $5 million to peddle BS to us rubes.
Matthews and Schultz were serving race-in-the-raw on their loathsome programs last night. (Schultz even went back to 2006 to play the macaca tape!) In this way, liberal brains get turned to dustand Oligarchic Power gets assured a long reign in this country.
This brings us around to Imam Raufs guest column in this mornings New York Times. Park51 seems to be Cordoba House againand the project will be going forward at the proposed location, Rauf says in his piece.
We assume the good intentions of Imam Rauf and his associates. In this part of his column, he describes a set of thrilling goals, goals we strongly commend:
Careful, Imam! If you go too far with that love the Lord our creator stuff, defeat-loving liberals may lump you in as part of the God Machine. (Presumably, along with Dr. King. We liberals adore defeat.)
We think the Imams vision is thrilling, although wed dump a few phrases. But did it have to be brought to life at this particular site? On the front page of yesterdays New York Times, Laurie Goodstein described some fall-out from the flap about the proposed location. We thought her report was profoundly sad. She started like this:
People who want to build a better world have to make important strategic decisions, reached from a reservoir of wisdom. (Obama wouldnt speak to the wisdom of the site.) Often, we in our bold new liberal world show little awareness of this.
We liberals! We slept in the woods in the Clinton-Gore years; we only re-emerged after Bush started a disastrous war. And when we sleepily crawled from the woods, some of us re-emerged on the scene with withered moral instincts. Dr. King was vast and great in his painful moral assessments, in which he often deferred, as a matter of strategy, to those who were massively wrong. By way of contrast, we modern liberals are often inclined to types of decisions which will likely serve to entrench our societys growing Oligarchic Power.
Well call them bigotsand theyll call us godless! In the process, Oligarchic Power will dig its roots deeper into the soil. Its happening now, as we type. Just look around! In part thanks to decades of liberal slumber, were well past No Return.
Who knows? Imam Raufs decision may work out in the end. But Dr. Asghar lives in the real worldin Cincinnati, no less! He may find himself thinking that the great good the imam envisions could have happened just as well in a different location.
Our side hasnt much thought about that. But then, we arent the ones on the line.
PART 9CHAIT SPEECH (permalink): Does Robert Samuelson hate black kids? Its possible that he doesnt. That said, he might as well treat himself, given the punishing disinformation he spewed in Mondays Washington Post.
In a remarkably misleading column, Samuelson, a morbid conservative, wiped away decades of academic progress by Americas black and Hispanic students. Of course, this is the same kind of disinformation spewed to readers of the Nation when the progressive journal presented its June 14 education issue (see THE DAILY HOWLER, 8/31/10). This returns us to a basic question: Do liberals care about black kids?
Do liberals care about black kids? Because sure enoughit has happened again, in the wake of Samuelsons column! Jonathan Chait is a smart, policy-centered liberal writer, a pillar of the world of the Washington liberal journal. But when Chait responded to Samuelsons column, he didnt have the slightest idea where the conservative columnist had gone wrong. Chait didnt know that Samuelson had withheld the most basic facts about the progress made by black students.
Does anybody care about black kids? Routinely, the answer seems clear.
What is wrong with Samuelsons columna column which is deeply deceptive? As he started, the gloomy dissembler rolled his eyes at the massive failures of school reform over the past forty years. Few subjects inspire more intellectual dishonesty than school reform, he gloomily said. After that, he engaged in an orgy of intellectual dishonesty of his own.
What follows are Samuelsons nugget paragraphs. In this passage, Samuelson refers to the long-term trend study of the National Assessment of Educational Progress (the NAEP), the highly regarded study which can be accessed here. He uses that study to paint an especially gloomy picture of the progress made by the nations 17-year-old students, especially blacks and Hispanics. Its rare to see a major writer so baldly disguise the most basic facts about the subject he is discussing. For Samuelsons column, just click here. What you are viewing is disinformation, though its the same type of disinformation spewed by the Nation in June:
On Friday, in our conclusion to this series, we will try to explain why so many people seem to love trashing reform.
Poor Samuelson! His basic point is abundantly clear: From the 1970s to the present, 17-year-olds have made no progress on the National Assessment of Education Progress (the NAEP), the nations most reliable testing program! In reading, the gain has been one meager pointfrom an average score of 285 all the way to 286! Sure, there have been some improvements in elementary grades, the great man concedesbut those modest improvements have been erased by a backslide in high school. The scores of blacks and Hispanics have risen slightly among 17-year-olds, Samuelson generously says, without discussing the scores of whitesbut he quickly wipes those slight gains away with a rather confusing point about the changing size of these minority groups. (More on that point below.)
Even worse, our standard theories cant explain this meager progress, he says. He plainly refers to the standard theories offered by liberals who favor reform.
In the rest of his column, Samuelson goes on to paint a gloomy picture of worthless, lazy American students. The larger cause of failure is almost unmentionable: shrunken student motivation, he says, using an educational f-word.
Bottom line: The profile of the past forty years is a profile of educational failure. In reading, 17-year-old students have only gained one pointjust one point, in all that time!
Does Robert Samuelson hate black kids? Its always possible he doesntbut he certainly seems to enjoy misstating their academic gains. What are the actual facts about progress on the NAEP among 17-year-old black studentsthe progress he describes as a failure? Lets take a look at the datathe data this influential writer withheld, in ways which seem deliberate, again and again.
First, a quick bit of background: In fact, 9-year-old black kids and 13-year-old black kids have made large score gains on the NAEP during the period in question. (Example: 9-year-old black kids have gained 39 points, not just one point, on the NAEP reading test. To review those large score gains, see THE DAILY HOWLER, 9/1/10.) Samuelson skipped those younger kids to denigrate the gains of 17-year-old students. But what are the actual facts about 17-year-old black students? (For the record, the NAEP only tests students in this study. It doesnt include 17-year-olds who have dropped out of school.)
In fact, the average score of 17-year-old black students rose by a rather large 29 points from 1971 to 2008, a fact no reader could ever imagine from reading this grossly misleading column. Surely, Samuelson knows this fact; the fact is plainly displayed, again and again, in the official NAEP data, the data from which he is working. (Click here, scroll down to page 14, Figure 4. Be sure to make apples-to-apples comparisons regarding accommodationsalthough the score gain remains 27 points if you fumble this point.)
Lets repeat: Among 17-year-olds, black students gained 29 points in reading during the period in question. This is massively larger than the one-point gain Samuelson chose to highlight, referring to the score gain recorded by 17-year-olds as a whole. And according to a rough rule of thumb which is rather widely applied, ten points on the NAEP scale is roughly equal to one academic year. If we apply this rough rule of thumb to those reading scores, the average black 17-year-old in 2008 was three years ahead of his peers from 1971! And by the way: These gains were recorded even as drop-out rates declined, a fact which Samuelson understands, as can be seen from a passage he includes later in his column (text below). In other words, black students recorded this large score gain even as a larger percentage of the 17-year-old population was being tested, a change which would be expected to lower the average score. (As drop-out rates decline, this would typically mean that more kids were being tested from the lower end of the scale.)
In math, a similar score gain was recorded, another fact Samuelson refused to report. In this case, our measurement starts in 1978, the first point at which the NAEP is using no extrapolated data. (NAEP: Because of the need to extrapolate the average scale scores, caution should be used in interpreting the pattern of trends from 1973 to 1978.) Result? From 1978 to 2008, black 17-year-old students gained 20 points on the NAEP scale, even as a larger percentage of the population was being tested. To observe this elementary fact for yourself, click here, then scroll down to page 35, Figure 10. Adjust for accommodations starting in 2004.
Lets review: At the older age Samuelson chose to stress, black students have gained 29 points in reading, 20 points in math (from 1978). Go ahead and compare those facts to the gloomand the disinformationpimped in Samuelsons piece. Reading Samuelsons gloomy piece, you see gloomy discussions of meager score gainsscore gains of one point in reading, two points in math. The real score gains are massively larger in the case of black students, even among the older students Samuelson chose to stress.
Having said this, lets repeat an important part of Samuelsons piece, then briefly explain it:
An obvious question arises here: If black students gained 29 points in reading during that period, how could the overall gain in reading be only one point? There are two reasons for this state of affairs, each of which Samuelson seems to understand:
First, the gain by white 17-year-old students was relatively small during that 37-year period; their average score went up only eight points, as opposed to 29 points for their black peers. The second point is much more important. The balance of the demographic groups in the student population changed a great deal during that period; Samuelson explains how this factor works in the passage weve quoted. Samuelson: Average test scores have remained stable because, although the scores of blacks and Hispanics have risen slightly, the size of these minority groups also expanded (our emphasis). This means that their still-low scores exert a bigger drag on the average. That statement is completely accurate, except for the deeply misleading claim that the scores of black students rose only slightly. Alas! Black and Hispanic students still score significantly lower than white students, despite their larger score gains during this period. Because they now comprise a larger percentage of the student population than they did in 1971, the average score overall has changed little in that time, even though the average score of all three major demographic groups has advanced. This is counterintuitive, but its a well-known statistical artifactand its clear that Samuelson understands it.
But again, lets state the central fact: In fact, black 17-year-old students gained 29 points in reading from 1971 to 2008, not the one point Samuelson chose to stress. Given the focus of his column, its a journalistic scandal that Samuelson chose to withhold that fact.
The Washington Post should publish a retraction/clarification of Samuelsons bald-faced disinformation. Well offer more on that matter tomorrow, along with a look at the score gains by 17-year-old Hispanic students. But first, lets look at Chaits reaction to this columna column which should be withdrawn by the Washington Post.
Jonathan Chait is smart and experienced. He has been a fixture at the New Republic since the mid-1990s. He tends to focuses on policy matters; he favors the types of educational reforms Samuelson trashed in his piece. And yet, when Chait rose up to challenge Samuelsons column (click here), he didnt betray the slightest awareness that Samuelson had failed to state the most basic relevant facts. He accepted the premise of Samuelsons piecethe notion that there has been little progress. (From 285 to 286!) Having accepted this bogus premise, Chait argued that this is no reason to dump liberal reforms. To Chait, this educational failure simply shows how badly we need such reforms! To Chait, these reforms havent yet been given a full chance to flower!
Can we talk? Chait doesnt have the first idea what hes talking about. To all appearances, he has no idea that Samuelsons column grossly misrepresents the types of gains which have been recorded on the NAEP. Here at THE HOWLER, we cant really tell you why 17-year-old black students have gained 29 points on the NAEP reading test. But Chait doesnt know that this gain has occurred! As typically happens in matters like this, he doesnt have the slightest idea what he is talking about.
Does anybody care about black kids? More precisely, do liberals care about black kids? Samuelson dissembled baldly in a profoundly misleading columnbut Chait betrayed no earthly sign of knowing this had occurred. (Go ahead. Just read what he wrote.) But then, its just as we have told you: Liberals quit on black kids in the 1970s. Today, even the brightest, policy-centered liberals know next to nothing about these topics. Chait has lived his entire adult life inside a liberal culture which doesnt know about black kidsand just flat-out doesnt care.
Our liberal editors pose as Wiesenthals, heroically parading about the land, naming all the racists and bigots and inviting us to admire their own moral greatness. At the same time, they have created a black kid-hating culturea culture in which our smartest players dont have the first clue about the lives of these kids.
Chait tried to rebut the Samuelson piece, but he didnt know where to begin. Does anyone care about black kids? Do you think modern liberals care?
Tomorrow: A note to the Washington Postand the score gains recorded by 17-year-old Hispanics
Friday: Our conclusion. Could this be the year? And we ask a further question: Does Joan Walsh really care?
About those drop-out rates: Drop-out rates are notoriously hard to measure. But Samuelson understands that drop-out rates have been coming down, and that inclusion rates on the NAEP have therefore been coming up. In this passage, he mentions this fact, as he trashes Americans kidsthe kids who made those tiny gains on the NAEP reading test:
The Washington Post should retract this column. For ourselves, we tend to avoid the NAEP data about 17-year-olds, in part because its hard to measure the actual rate of inclusion.