ALAN SIMPSONS CON! Mike Hatchell think SS wont be therein part, due to Simpsons con: // link // print // previous // next //
TUESDAY, AUGUST 17, 2010
Drums along the Ohio: As usual, the editors were wringing their hands, paralyzed by their moral purity. Newt Gingrich has been on a tear in recent weeks; truly, his conduct has been astounding. But the editors werent sure they should say so:
In our view, the editors should have discussed Newts drumming at much greater length, probably long before this. Almost surely, this drumming helps explain a situation described in Carl Hulses news report. Hulse reports on the politics of the (renamed) Park51 project:
Assuming Renaccis statement is accurate, why were people in Ohio furious about the mosque proposal? Presumably, their fury is explained, at least in part, by various things theyve been hearing on Fox, and in other conservative precincts. Todays editorial only scratches the surface of the things that have been said on Fox. And yet, the editors were wringing their hands. Had they perhaps said too much?
What have people heard on Fox? Theyve heard that claim about Muslim triumphalism embroidered in vast, inane detail. Theyve heard a series of troubling claims about this projects sponsors. Theyve heard endless false or misleading statements about where the project is located. Theyve heard many statements like the one by Candidate Maynard in the passage abovestatements in which a group of people called the Muslims are all lumped into one mass.
Theyve heard such statements drummed by Gingrich, who then compares the Muslims to other groupsto the Nazis, to cite one example.
What would Ohio voters think if they heard these claims corrected and/or examined? There is no real way to know; we dont currently live in a country where such interactions occur. But Gingrich has made an astonishing series of statements about this topic. This morning, the editors, wringing their hands, barely scratch the surface of his statements. Nor do they make any real attempt to explain why his claims are intolerant.
And alas! Were often struck by how clueless these editors areclueless about the way their own drums may sound along the Ohio. Clueless is the only word for this hapless aside:
The editors are on the ground in Manhattan. For them, this is a local story; presumably, they know more about this projects sponsors than anyone else in the country. And yet, in the course of praising the wisdom of going ahead with the project, they clumsily suggest that the sponsors may be making promises about inclusion and outreach which are insincere.
Just a guessthat drum wont play along the Ohio. (Luckily, no one reads the Times there.) But its typical of the tone-deaf way these hapless oafs lecture the world.
Gingrichs conduct has been astoundingand yet, the editors were wringing their hands. How much should these exquisite creatures say? The less the better, we sometimes think, watching them speak to the world.
A note about recent liberal logic: Remember: According to Howard Deans recent logic, Newt Gingrich isnt a racist. But, by fairly clear insinuation, those proles in Ohio are. We name-call the proles who get misled, excuse the gods who do it.
PART 2ALAN SIMPSONS CON (permalink): Will Social Security still be there when Mike Hatchell, age 52, retires? Plainly yes, barring national melt-down. (Unless enough people start thinking it wont be, in which case radical reform to the program becomes much easier to sell.)
On last Thursday evenings Countdown, Hatchell said he had to spend his existing retirement funds during 59 weeks of unemployment. (His wife has also been out of work. See THE DAILY HOWLER, 8/16/10.) He volunteered an intriguing thought when asked about his retirement prospects:
Hatchell seemed like a very bright person. As we watched him, we kept thinking that he would make an excellent national spokesman for a range of political/issue groups. But, like millions of other people, he has heard all kinds of stories about what a fraud Social Security is. As early as 1994, a large number of younger voters had been conned into believing that they would never get Social Security benefits (see THE DAILY HOWLER, 8/16/10). Like millions of other Americans, Hatchell seems to retain this fear.
People have heard a welter of claims about Social Security, as we noted in yesterdays post. But for the most part, people who fear the demise of the program have been misled by two basic cons.
Ironically, the two major cons are semi-contradictory. The first con says that the programs trust fund doesnt exist. The second con explains what will happen after the trust fund is gone:
First conthe trust fund: On the one hand, people have heard that the Social Security trust fund is just an accounting fictiona pile of worthless IOUs, the left hand borrowing from the right hand. (The money isnt thereweve already spent it!) Since Social Security is supposed to start drawing on the trust fund in the next few yearssince the trust fund is supposed to allow the system to maintain promised benefits through the year 2037this suggests that Social Security might be on the verge of a near-term collapse.
Second conafter the trust fund is gone: On the other hand, people have heard that Social Security will go broke or go bankrupt once the trust fund expires in 2037 (according to current projections). For most people, these terms suggest some sort of cataclysmic collapse, after which the Social Security system would have to be shuttered. Presumably, this explains why so many people, for so many years, have seemed to assume that they will never draw any benefits.
Those are the two basic cons. People like Hatchell have heard these cons for at least the past thirty years.
Its easy to address the second conto explain what happens after 2037. Alan Simpson is the Republican co-chairman of Obamas deficit commission. Back in June, he said Social Security will go broke in the year 2037 in an interview with Alex Lawson. But as soon as Lawson challenged that language, Simpson described the actual factsthe facts these scare merchants have known all along. John Berry did the reporting, for the Fiscal Times:
Duh. After making the frightening claim that Social Security will go broke in the year 2037, Simpson explained what would actually happen. Since payroll taxes would keep rolling in, the system would never go bankrupt or broke, unless youre reinventing the language. Instead, payroll taxes would keep rolling in, and benefits would keep going out, although the system would be able to pay only 75 percent of scheduled benefits. Those scheduled benefits are higher than the benefits which are currently being paid (even when adjusted for inflation), but this would not be a desirable circumstance. That said, Mike Hatchell would still be receiving benefits, even after the trust fund expiresthough his benefits would have to be cut at that point, barring some new source of revenue.
This would not be a desirable outcomebut Social Security would still be there. It would not go belly-up. If were still speaking traditional English, it wouldnt be bankrupt or broke.
When people like Simpson use words like bankrupt and broke, they deceive people like Hatchell. Unfortunately, theyve been at this game for a very long time, over at least three decades. As a result, many people are very confused about the programs long-term prospects. Theyve heard that the system is going broke. They think they will never get benefits.
Thats the bad news, but heres the good news again: This long-term situation is extremely easy to explain. You can see how easily Simpson explained itbut only after he was challenged about his claim that the system will go broke. Can we talk? Barring some sort of national meltdown, Social Security will never go broke in the way Hatchell seems to fear. Barring some sort of national meltdown, Social Security will always be therethough we may need to find new revenue, if we want to keep future benefits at their promised levels.
The long-term situation is easy to explain. This raises an obvious question: Why has no one ever explained it to Hatchell? Quite plainly, Hatchell is a very bright person; watching him, we kept thinking how good a spokesman he would be for various groups. But he seems to think that Social Security may not be there when he retires. (We all know such things, he said.) Thirty years of liberal ineptitude, indifference and fecklessness explain this situation.
The long-term situation is easy to explain; you can see how easily Simpson explained it. But so what? Over the course of the past thirty years, your liberal intellectual leaders have been too stupid and lazy to do so. As early as 1994, people like Hatchell had been conned. In the sixteen years since then, your liberal intellectual leaders have continued to nap, snore and fail.
They have relentlessly kissed Chris Matthews assand failed to perform their key functions.
The long-term con is easy to debunk. The trust fund con is much more complex. In last weeks blog post, Krugman said hed start with that hoary old groaner. On the morrow, well start with his post.
Tomorrow: Krugman explains