WHY DO FOOLS FALL IN LOVE! Why do voters believe foolish claims? Lets review last Wednesdays Hardball: // link // print // previous // next //
WEDNESDAY, JULY 20, 2011
Establishment values and logic/Why your side cant win: Michelle Cottle is a major establishment player. Rather clearly, she has been in training for several years to be the establishment press corps replacement for Cokie Roberts.
Shes is training to be the New Cokiea clucking southern woman who states the establishment view on all troubling moral affairs.
Beyond that, Cottle has become a large bottom-feeder over the past dozen years. Yesterday, at the Daily Beast, she showed how low the establishment is going to go in these brave new years.
Are Murdochs newspapers bottom-feeders? This was the Daily Beast headline: Bachmann Rumor Grows Louder. No, it isnt always wrong to report on a political rumor. But as she starts, Cottle shows that rumor and whispers are now assumed to be a basic part of the process:
To a bottom-feeder like Cottle, concern about what Stewart (and some major journalists) have done is batted aside as the wringing of hands. Darlings! Salacious chatter is now inevitable! Why not lie back and enjoy it?
Why not repeat the very best jokes? Why not help your readers recall the comically mincing Paul Lynde?
Cottle has been a nightmare-in-training for years. Her new piece helps us see how low the establishment is going to go in this new tribalized era.
Cottle shows us establishment values. For a look at establishment logic, we recommend this pitiful news report from this mornings New York Timesa news report which will likely send thrills up pseudo-liberal legs.
Were not familiar with Ron Nixons work, though much of it may be quite good. He worked his way up from the Roanoke Times, where he was conceivably held to tighter standards of logic. This morning, many lines are smudged in his opening paragraphs, as he defines a troubling problema troubling problem which, in all honesty, doesnt quite seem to make sense.
In our hard-copy Times, Nixons report sits atop the first page of the National section. Fudging and smudging as he goes, Nixon seeks an hypocrisy hook concerning those freshman Republicans:
That last sentence is really pathetic. But Nixon has to fudge many points to drive his hypocrisy hook.
Nearly two dozen freshmen have sought money for projects that could ultimately cost billions of dollars, while calling for less spending and banning pork projects. But alas! Unless a call for less spending is actually a call for no spending, its hard to see the obvious conflict in the facts Nixon reports. (Do any of the projects he cites represent out-of-control spending?) Meanwhile, note the way Nixon marbles the word earmark through his reporteven though, as you can see, these troubling projects arent earmarks.
Liberals have lost for many years because we cant reason more clearly than this. Your side cant win in a world like thisthough thrills up the leg can feel grand.
This morning, the New York Times makes no real attempt to report whats in the new Gang of Six plan. Given the way this famous newspaper reasons/explains, maybe its just as well.
Regarding the Gang of Six plan: Were working from our hard-copy Times, which reports that the plan calls for both deep spending cuts and new revenues through an overhaul of the income-tax code. The explanation stops there.
PART 2WHY DO FOOLS FALL IN LOVE (permalink): Why do fools fall in love with misinformation or foolish ideas?
Given the way our press corps works, it isnt that hard to do! Consider a recent example:
On Monday, Digby announced that forty percent of the public are fools. Theyre fools because they think there would be no huge economic problem if Congress wont raise the debt limit. (An additional twenty percent didnt know if this would lead to huge problems, although they werent listed as fools.)
As far as we know, these people are totally wrong. But why do fools believe such things? Given the way our press corps works, it isnt that hard to believe foolish notions! Consider what happened when Rep. Steve King, the Iowa Republican, showed up on last Wednesdays Hardball. To watch the full segment, click here.
Background: One day earlier, Senator McConnell had announced his now-famous plan to raise the debt limit. McConnells proposal was quite confusingbut Hardballs host, Chris Matthews, had had approximately twenty-six hours to get clear on what hed proposed.
But Matthews is rarely clear on anything. He opened the show with Rep. King. This is how he began:
Say what? Twenty-six hours later, Matthews account of the McConnell plan's highlights was clear as mud. According to Matthews, Obama would be able to ask for $2.5 trillion over the next yearalthough Matthews didnt say who Obama would be asking. (And he didnt specify that this would by a $2.5 trillion increase in the debt limit.) As Obama asked for this $2.5 trillion, he would have to offer up spending cuts, Matthews saidthough he didnt say how large the cuts would have to be, or to whom they would have to be offered, or if the spending cuts would actually go into effect. Matthews finished with a bit more gorilla dust: Congress could then vote against raising the debt limit, but Obama would have veto power, of course.
This was the very first topic Matthews raised on this program. It wasnt some random topic which caught the Hardball host by surprise; this was Matthews own choice for his programs starting-point. Despite this, Matthews account of McConnells proposal was almost completely incoherent. From Matthews rat-a-tat account, an average Joe who was watching this program would likely emerge with no real idea of what McConnell had proposed.
Incredibly, that was the best Matthews could do with a topic he himself had selected.
In response, King said he opposed the McConnell plan; he said it passes the congressional responsibility over to the president and it puts him in the position to veto the objections of Congress about raising the debt ceiling Right now, it requires a simple majority to say no to debt ceiling, and that is our constitutional obligation. We shouldn`t pass it off to the president. That statement was much more coherent (and much more accurate) than anything Matthews had said to this pointalthough its still unlikely than an average Joe viewer would have understood, from this exchange, what McConnell had proposed.
Why do fools fall in love with mistaken ideas? Consider where things went from there as this utterly hapless journalist continued his grilling of King.
Having muddied McConnells proposal, Matthews moved to a new topic. Two days earlier, Obama had made a troubling statement; he said he couldnt guarantee that Social Security checks would still go out after August 2 if the debt limit didnt get raised. In response, several Republican congressmen had called Obama a liar. Matthews played tape of one such statement, then showed what a nitwit he is:
Good lord! Walsh had made several very serious claims about several serious topics. Most importantly, he had made a statement about those Social Security checksa statement which was grossly misleading, though it may have been technically accurate. But Matthews chose, as he often does, to focus on an utterly silly semantic offense. He fussed and fumed, through two Q-and-As, about the term European.
(This just in from the planet Earth: The contrast between European social democracies and the more laissez-faire American system has been a basic analytical framework for several decades now.)
Walsh had called Obama a liar. More narrowly, he had said that Social Security checks could still be sent after August 2, even if the debt limit stays right where it is. That was a very important claima claim which needed examination. But Matthews wasted everyones time, sputtering through two iterations about an imagined semantic offense. This gave King the chance to ramble, at some length, about the economic devastation in states like Michigan and Pennsylvaniaeconomic devastation he laid at Obamas door.
An average-Joe viewer could have learned very little from this exchange to this point. But as you can see in the passage above, Matthews had tagged on a relevant questiona question about the debt limit. Did King agree with Walsh? Did he agree that the government is not going to go into default in early August if you dont pass the debt ceiling? Matthews should have said debt ceiling increase, of course. But we were finally somewhere near where the rubber meets the road.
And yet, alas! Please note the obvious shortcoming of this question from Matthews. In the tape that Matthews played, Walsh hadnt said a word about the technical term, default. He had made a more recognizable claimhe had said that Obama was lying about those Social Security checks. He said the checks could still be sent even if the debt limit stayed the same. Skipping past that specific claim, Matthews introduced a more nebulous question. And heres what happened when Rep. King finally started to answer:
Finally! King seemed to be making this claim: Even after August 2, there would still be enough revenue coming in to pay the troops, to pay debt service, and to send Social Security checks. This, of course, is a factual claim, subject to factual review.
This brings us back to our original question: How do average voters fall in love with mistaken ideas? Lets understand the context in which Kings claim was made on this program:
All around the country, average Joes were seeing Bachmann and King and Walsh and others making this claim this day. In a rational world, it would be the job of a journalist like Matthews to subject such a claim to review. In fact, Kings claim is utterly batty; even if its technically accurate (we dont know if it is), its plainly grossly misleading. And guess what? Its amazingly easy to demonstrate the problem with Kings claim by use of a few simple facts.
But Matthews didnt have any facts in his head this day; he almost never does. He was unprepared to debate Kings claim, just as he had been unprepared to describe McConnells proposal. Tomorrow, well look at his reaction to what King saidand well look at some facts which appeared in the next days Washington Post, when that newspaper finally started explaining this very important matter. (The New York Times still hasnt tried to do so, as near as we can tell.)
Five days after this Hardball session, Digby called eighty million people fools because they dont understand this matter.
Our question: How are average Joes supposed to understand topics like this, surrounded as they are by journalists like Matthews, by newspapers like the Washington Post and the New York Times? The claim by King was utterly foolish. But Matthews was unprepared, as always. He gave viewers almost nothing to go on.
The claim by King was utterly foolish. But how could a poor fool tell?
Tomorrow: Several months too late, the Post did some real reporting